Set as Homepage - Add to Favorites

成人午夜福利A视频-成人午夜福利剧场-成人午夜福利免费-成人午夜福利免费视频-成人午夜福利片-成人午夜福利视

【покажи порнографию】Enter to watch online.Trump could become Mr. Brexit

Early Thursday morning,покажи порнографию Republican candidate for president Donald Trump wrote a cryptic tweet.

It read, "They will soon be calling me MR. BREXIT!"

Almost immediately, the title began trending on Twitter and jokes flooded social media, each more confused than the last. But, there is a method to this that's one example of Twitter madness.


You May Also Like

Trump is most definitely referring to the United Kingdom's June vote to leave the European Union, and most probably how the results surprised many because polls leading up to the referendum indicated the opposite result.

Clearly, unless he really has gotten into Mr. Robot, Trump sees himself in the same position as the UK residents who wanted to keep their country out of international economic affairs.

But is he correct in this assumption?

In the waning hours before that fateful June 23 vote many polls predicted voters would choose to remain.

Ipsos MORI conducted a poll for the Evening Standardand found that 'Remain' was up by four points in a telephone survey of 1,592 people.

Betting markets put 'Remain' up 53.5 percent to 46.5 percent the day before the vote and the forecasting website Elections Etc held that the probability of a 'Remain' victory was 62.3 percent.

But alas, when night fell upon a Britain expecting its continued membership, the final vote turned out a little different. The final number, according to the BBC, was 51.9 percent to leave and 48.1 percent to stay, with a 72.2 percent turnout.

How does that correlate with Trump's current poll standings?

Mashable Trend Report Decode what’s viral, what’s next, and what it all means. Sign up for Mashable’s weekly Trend Report newsletter. By clicking Sign Me Up, you confirm you are 16+ and agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Thanks for signing up!
Judging by the nature of his campaign, the slim polling and the passion of his voters, Trump could certainly become Mr. Brexit.

All six general election polls shown on RealClearPolitics.com from the past week have him trailing Clinton. The average spread has Clinton five to six points ahead, but many forecast slimmer margins.

The survey most favorable to Clinton is a YouGov/Economist poll that shows Clinton up by six points. (YouGov incorrectly predicted the Brexit vote by four points.)

The date with the narrowest margin comes from a Los Angeles Timespoll that shows Clinton only up by a single point.

A large difference between the two events is that there were also many polls showing strong support for Brexit in the run up to the vote.

A poll by ORB showed the leave vote with 55 percent of the vote, with 45 percent expecting to vote to remain. And in a Guardian/ICM poll the week before the vote the 'Leave' campaign led with 53 percent to 47 percent for 'Remain'.

Unfortunately for Trump, he does not have polls that reflect the precise opposite result of the current prevailing analysis.

Besides this, there were two other factors often credited with delivering a Brexit vote in the face of incorrect polling: the murder of British lawmaker Jo Cox and the demographics of the voter turnout.

The death of Cox, who was a staunch opponent of leaving the EU, swung voters to and fro in the final days before the vote. Accusations and politicization charged voters and mobilized the 'Leave' camp, according to CNBC.

Additionally, the youth vote upon which 'Remain' rested its hopes did not turn out as forcefully as the older generations. That segment of the population was shown to favor 'Leave' more earnestly and voted as such. Naturally, then, youths blamed olds for isolating their country from the world.

Finally, and not to keep knocking them, but UK pollsters have not had the best track record as of late. In the 2015 general election, 100 percent of polls were incorrect in forecasting who would win.

So, could Trump earn the name Mr. Brexit?

Based off of the thin lead shown in current polling, many of which fall within a normal margin of error, votes for Trump could indeed swing his way.

Additionally, many people have seen a similarity between those who come out to Trump's rallies and the demographic that voted in favor of Brexit. Clinton supporters have consistently been labeled as not having passion for their candidate, at least not in the way Trump's supporters have shown him. That passion could lead to a greater voter turnout for him as happened in June.

If this fills you with anxiety, just keep in mind that fivethirtyeight currently has Clinton at an 88 percent probability of winning the general election. (Just try not to remember how they were wrong about Trump winning the GOP nomination.)

Judging by the uncertain nature of his campaign, the slim polling and the passion of his voters, Trump could certainly become Mr. Brexit.

But, it's only August and anything could happen before November.

0.2065s , 8019.2265625 kb

Copyright © 2025 Powered by 【покажи порнографию】Enter to watch online.Trump could become Mr. Brexit,First Hand News  

Sitemap

Top 主站蜘蛛池模板: 日韩欧美日韩激情 | 亚洲精品岁国产精品 | 日本色一道 | 日韩欧美中文字幕1页 | 欧美性爱视频免费看 | 成人在线观看国产 | 国产高清视频 | 伊人中文字幕 | 国产精品无码不卡 | 国产偷拍自拍在线观看 | 日韩全球免费视频 | 中文字幕av一区二区 | 91乱伦| 日韩草莓天堂在线观看 | 久操精品在线 | 精品国自产在线观看 | 欧美精品免费看 | 五月婷婷影院 | 日韩成片 | 黄色成人免费观看 | 91白丝后入| 欧美激情小说图片 | 国产无码高清一区 | 婷丁五月| 国产一区 | 日韩欧美三级在线观看 | 日韩欧美一区二区不卡 | 免费尤物视频 | 国产丝袜高跟在线播放 | 成人网址在线观看 | 国产黄色片网站 | 最新三级网址 | 欧美多人性爱视频 | 狠狠干夜夜干 | 日韩精品专区中文字幕 | 日韩在线成人免费视频 | 国产又粗又大又黄 | 国产网站精品 | 日韩精品极品 | 高清久久 | 国产91三级精选国产 |